A causal model goes beyond the graph by including specific probability functions mathbbP(X_i|mathbfpa_i) for how to calculate the probability of each node X_i taking on the value x_i given the values mathbfpa_i of x_i's immediate ancestors\. It is implicitly assumed that the causal model factorizes, so that the probability of any value assignment mathbfx to the whole graph can be calculated using the product:
I got lost here (and in the following equations). I think it's a combination of needing the "factorizes" redlink filled in, and not understanding the do() syntax.
Comments
Eric Rogstad
Ah, one additional thing I'm confused about -- what do Xi and xi refer to? I thought Xi referred to the node (so that SEASON would be X0, {RAINING, SPRINKLER} X1, {SIDEWALK} X2, and {SLIPPERY} X3), but then I'm not sure what lowercase xi would refer to…