"The following would be simpler and more consist..."

https://arbital.com/p/6m8

by Anareth A Nov 27 2016


Rearranging the definition of conditional probability, mathbbP(XwedgeY)\=mathbbP(Y)cdotmathbbP(X|Y). E\.g\. to find "the fraction of all patients that are sick and get a positive result", we multiply "the fraction of patients that are sick" times "the probability that a sick patient blackens the tongue depressor"\.

The following would be simpler and more consistent with the beginning of the sentence: “the fraction of sick patients that got a positive result”