"The log used to determine number of bits should..."

https://arbital.com/p/96l

by Noah Luxton Aug 9 2018


Imagine what happens when the oyster is blue\. H predicted blueness with frac18 of its probability mass, while lnotH predicted blueness with frac14 of its probability mass\. Thus, lnotH did better than H, and goes up in probability\. Previously, we've been combining both mathbbP(emidH) and mathbbP(emidlnotH) into unified likelihood ratios, like left(frac18:frac14right) \= (1:2), which says that the 'blue' observation carries 1 bit of evidence H. However, we can also take the logs first, and combine second\.

The log used to determine number of bits should probably be consistent throughout or clarified each time. Here, the log 2 scale is used, when elsewhere there is usage of the log 10 scale.