"One of these does log( prob/ 1 - prob) the othe..."

https://arbital.com/p/990

by Viktor Riabtsev Oct 10 2018


On the log\-odds line, a 1 in 100 credibility is 2 orders of magnitude, and a "1 in a million" credibility is 6 orders of magnitude\. The distance between them is minus 4 orders of magnitude, that is, log_10(106)log_10(102) yields 4 magnitudes, or roughly 13.3 bits\. On the other hand, 11% to 10% is log_10(frac0.100.90)log_10(frac0.110.89)approx0.9540.907approx0.046 magnitudes, or 0.153 bits\.

One of these does log( prob/ 1 - prob) the other does log( prob) …

I get your point about orders of magnitude difference, but for me this ends up more confusing then anything.