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  title: '"This claim is wrong, and the formula is correct..."',
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  text: 'This claim is wrong, and the formula is correct. The formula shown is just a special case of the standard formula for the expected value of *any* random variable.\n\nWhat *is* true is that the decision rule of maximizing expected utility can go wrong if you don't condition on all the relevant information when computing expected utility. What the author has written as\n\n  P(o_i | a_x) and E[U | a_x]\n\nshould actually be written as\n\n  P(o_i | a_x, B) and E[U | a_x, B]\n\nwhere B is all the background information relevant to the problem. Problems with maximizing expected utility arise when B fails to include relevant causal information.',
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