Answer 89% is around 8 times as much as 11%, so we start out with −3 bits of belief that a random oyster contains a pearl\. Full oysters are 1/2 as likely to be blue as empty oysters, so seeing that an oyster is blue is −1 bits of evidence against it containing a pearl\. Posterior belief should be around −4 bits or (1:16) against, or a probability of 1/17\.\.\. so a bit more than 5% \(1/20\) maybe? \(Actually 5\.88%\.\)
Is "-1 against" the same as "+1 for"?
Expressing the first practical example entirely in terms of negative numbers seems like a poor pedagogical choice.
Phrasing as "3 bits against" and then "a further 1 bit against" may help.
Adding that the blue ones are not a great pick if you want pearls may help people understand the direction of "against".