{ localUrl: '../page/981.html', arbitalUrl: 'https://arbital.com/p/981', rawJsonUrl: '../raw/981.json', likeableId: '0', likeableType: 'page', myLikeValue: '0', likeCount: '0', dislikeCount: '0', likeScore: '0', individualLikes: [], pageId: '981', edit: '1', editSummary: '', prevEdit: '0', currentEdit: '1', wasPublished: 'true', type: 'comment', title: '"Is "-1 against" the same as "+1 for"?\n\nExpressi..."', clickbait: '', textLength: '350', alias: '981', externalUrl: '', sortChildrenBy: 'recentFirst', hasVote: 'false', voteType: '', votesAnonymous: 'false', editCreatorId: 'DewiMorgan', editCreatedAt: '2018-09-25 13:30:03', pageCreatorId: 'DewiMorgan', pageCreatedAt: '2018-09-25 13:30:03', seeDomainId: '0', editDomainId: '3183', submitToDomainId: '0', isAutosave: 'false', isSnapshot: 'false', isLiveEdit: 'true', isMinorEdit: 'false', indirectTeacher: 'false', todoCount: '0', isEditorComment: 'false', isApprovedComment: 'false', isResolved: 'false', snapshotText: '', anchorContext: 'Answer\n\n89% is around 8 times as much as 11%, so we start out with ${^-3}$ bits of belief that a random oyster contains a pearl\\.\n\nFull oysters are 1/2 as likely to be blue as empty oysters, so seeing that an oyster is blue is ${^-1}$ bits of evidence against it containing a pearl\\.\n\nPosterior belief should be around ${^-4}$ bits or $(1 : 16)$ against, or a probability of 1/17\\.\\.\\. so a bit more than 5% \\(1/20\\) maybe? \\(Actually 5\\.88%\\.\\)\n\n\n\n', anchorText: 'is ${^-1}$ bits of evidence against', anchorOffset: '224', mergedInto: '', isDeleted: 'false', viewCount: '2545', text: 'Is "-1 against" the same as "+1 for"?\n\nExpressing the first practical example entirely in terms of negative numbers seems like a poor pedagogical choice.\n\nPhrasing as "3 bits against" and then "a further 1 bit against" may help.\n\nAdding that the blue ones are not a great pick if you want pearls may help people understand the direction of "against".', metaText: '', isTextLoaded: 'true', isSubscribedToDiscussion: 'false', isSubscribedToUser: 'false', isSubscribedAsMaintainer: 'false', discussionSubscriberCount: '1', maintainerCount: '1', userSubscriberCount: '0', lastVisit: '', hasDraft: 'false', votes: [], voteSummary: 'null', muVoteSummary: '0', voteScaling: '0', currentUserVote: '-2', voteCount: '0', lockedVoteType: '', maxEditEver: '0', redLinkCount: '0', lockedBy: '', lockedUntil: '', nextPageId: '', prevPageId: '', usedAsMastery: 'false', proposalEditNum: '0', permissions: { edit: { has: 'false', reason: 'You don't have domain permission to edit this page' }, proposeEdit: { has: 'true', reason: '' }, delete: { has: 'false', reason: 'You don't have domain permission to delete this page' }, comment: { has: 'false', reason: 'You can't comment in this domain because you are not a member' }, proposeComment: { has: 'true', reason: '' } }, summaries: {}, creatorIds: [ 'DewiMorgan' ], childIds: [], parentIds: [ 'bayes_log_odds' ], commentIds: [], questionIds: [], tagIds: [], relatedIds: [], markIds: [], explanations: [], learnMore: [], requirements: [], subjects: [], lenses: [], lensParentId: '', pathPages: [], learnMoreTaughtMap: {}, learnMoreCoveredMap: {}, learnMoreRequiredMap: {}, editHistory: {}, domainSubmissions: {}, answers: [], answerCount: '0', commentCount: '0', newCommentCount: '0', linkedMarkCount: '0', changeLogs: [ { likeableId: '0', likeableType: 'changeLog', myLikeValue: '0', likeCount: '0', dislikeCount: '0', likeScore: '0', individualLikes: [], id: '23079', pageId: '981', userId: 'DewiMorgan', edit: '1', type: 'newEdit', createdAt: '2018-09-25 13:30:03', auxPageId: '', oldSettingsValue: '', newSettingsValue: '' } ], feedSubmissions: [], searchStrings: {}, hasChildren: 'false', hasParents: 'true', redAliases: {}, improvementTagIds: [], nonMetaTagIds: [], todos: [], slowDownMap: 'null', speedUpMap: 'null', arcPageIds: 'null', contentRequests: {} }